The third wave is not yet over, and experts say the continuation of the second event will increase

The third wave is not yet over, and experts say the continuation of the second event will increase

The third wave of covid-19 has not yet hit India and the increase in cases in some regions like Kerala and Northeast India is part of the second wave that started the delta variation, say public health experts.

"The third wave is not over yet. We are still in the final stages of the second wave," said Anurag Aggarwal, director of the Institute of Genomics and Integrative Biology at CSIR. May be associated with an increase, he said.

K. Srinath Reddy, chairman of the Public Health Trust of India (PHFI), said the hospital rate may be the most important indicator for the third wave of the epidemic. "There are three indicators we need to follow - number (of cases), deaths and hospitalization. The best indicator is hospitalization. The other two indicators are less vulnerable, and the numbers required by the hospital indicate the pressure on the health system," he said.

"Mild infections can be missed but serious infections can be counted on. If those numbers rise sharply, they will announce the arrival of a third wave. Senior epidemiologist Giridhara Babu said the increase in cases would mean a third wave in most states' case. To say that the waves are clearly different there should be at least 1 to 2 incubation periods (14-28 days) between the minimum transmission period, ”he said.

The spread of the virus is measured by an ‘R number’ or reproduction number. R is the average number of people who transmit the virus to an infected person. Therefore, cases will rise if the R number is more than one and cases will decrease if one case is less.

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